Week 10 regular season action features the Bills visiting the Jets at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Nov 15, 2026, at 1:00 PM ET with the game broadcast on CBS.
Our lean
Spread
Bills -8.5 (-110)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 10, 2:00 PM ET
Break-even at -110: 52.4% · Market, vig removed: Bills -8.5 50.0% · Bills to win 79.6%
Bills form that includes four straight wins and a 7-1 record points to covering the spread against a Jets side that has lost four straight and sits at 2-7 overall.
The case against
The moneyline moved toward the Jets from +390 to +370 while the spread remained at Bills -8.5, and the Jets hold a 1-3 home record that could keep the margin closer than the line suggests.
Bills outlook
The Bills enter with a 7-1 record and 4-0 mark on the road after results that include a 23-6 win at Minnesota Vikings, a 36-10 win versus Baltimore Ravens, a 33-30 win at Las Vegas Raiders and a 37-34 overtime win at Los Angeles Rams.
Season averages show 32.0 points scored and 23.4 allowed per game along with 400.0 total yards per game and 344.4 allowed, led by Josh Allen with 2,027 passing yards, James Cook III with 814 rushing yards and Dalton Kincaid with 429 receiving yards.
Injuries list Joshua Palmer on injured reserve while Greg Gaines, Alec Anderson and Dion Dawkins are questionable, and the team has five days off after its most recent game.
Jets outlook
The Jets sit at 2-7 overall and 1-3 at home after results that include a 35-12 loss at Kansas City Chiefs, a 38-33 loss versus Las Vegas Raiders, a 28-25 loss versus Miami Dolphins and a 26-19 loss at New England Patriots.
Season averages show 20.2 points scored and 24.8 allowed per game along with 336.1 total yards per game and 340.1 allowed, led by Geno Smith with 2,078 passing yards, Braelon Allen with 598 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson with 527 receiving yards.
Injuries list VJ Payne on injured reserve while Trevin Wallace, Garrett Wilson, Nahshon Wright and Joseph Ossai are questionable, and the team has six days off after its most recent game.
Key matchup
Bills offensive production that has reached 32.0 points per game and 400.0 total yards per game faces a Jets defense that has allowed 24.8 points and 340.1 total yards per game, an area that figures to shape the outcome given the Bills road form and the Jets home record.
The market
DraftKings lines as of Tue, Nov 10, 2:00 PM ET list Bills -8.5 at -110 and Jets +8.5 at -110 with the total at 50.5, over -115 and under -105; the opening spread was Bills -7 and the total was 46.5 while the moneyline moved from Bills -520 to -485 and Jets +390 to +370.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 10, 2:00 PM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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