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EPLNov 8, 2026

Pregame

Chelsea vs Sunderland Prediction, Odds & Picks

Chelsea visit Sunderland with the away side holding a stronger league record and more recent wins than the hosts.

By the OddsListing desk · Published

CHE

5-1-3

9:00 AM ET

SUN

1-2-6

Scores from the ESPN board

At a glance

Pregame line

Spread
CHE −0.5 (−115)SUN +0.5 (−120)
Total
O 2.5 (−130)U 2.5 (+105)
Moneyline
CHE −110 (50%)Draw +275 (25%)SUN +285 (25%)

Our lean

Chelsea moneyline (-110)Why

DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication · Nov 6, 9:20 AM ET

DraftKings via ESPN · Pregame line · as of 10:56 AM ET. % = no-vig win share (hold removed; arithmetic, not a forecast).

Chelsea arrive at Stadium of Light with a 5-1-3 record worth 16 points while Sunderland sit at 1-2-6 for 5 points, making the fixture relevant to both clubs' league placement on Nov 8.

Our lean

Moneyline

Chelsea moneyline (-110)

DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 6, 9:20 AM ET

Break-even at -110: 52.4% · Market, vig removed: Chelsea to win 49.9%

Chelsea's 5-1-3 record and 16 points exceed Sunderland's 1-2-6 record and 5 points while the away side's recent results include more wins by multiple goals than the hosts have recorded this season, pointing to Chelsea on the moneyline.

What our lean is, and isn’t

Chelsea outlook

Chelsea's sequence of results newest first lists a win by 2, a loss by 0, a loss by 2, a win by 2 and a win by 4, pointing to an attack capable of producing multi-goal margins.

The visitors have recorded 19 goals scored and 15 conceded across the season with Morgan Rogers leading in goals at 5 across 9 matches and Cole Palmer topping assists at 3 across 9 matches plus shots at 28, suggesting the attack can stretch defenses while the defense has allowed a comparable number of goals.

Chelsea's most recent listed game was on Oct 31, giving the side 7 days off before traveling, a rest window that aligns with their pattern of scoring in volume on several outings.

Sunderland outlook

Sunderland's sequence of results newest first shows a loss by 2, a loss by 2, a win by 1, a draw and a draw, indicating recent difficulty converting results on the road and at home.

The hosts have tallied 7 goals scored and 17 conceded this season with Brian Brobbey leading in goals at 3 across 7 matches and Enzo Le Fée leading in assists at 1 across 9 matches plus shots at 16, reflecting an attack that has generated fewer goals than the defense has allowed.

Sunderland's most recent listed game was on Nov 5, leaving the side with 2 days off before hosting, a short turnaround that follows a pair of defeats by multiple goals.

Key matchup

Chelsea's season total of 19 goals scored against Sunderland's 17 conceded suggests the visitors' attack may find openings against a defense that has allowed more goals than the away side has produced, while Sunderland's 7 goals scored face Chelsea's 15 conceded.

Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 6, 9:20 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews

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Market read

DraftKings via ESPN

Pregame line · as of 10:56 AM ET

MarketNowOpenedChangeNo-vig %HoldAs of
CHE spread−0.5 −115−0.5 −110−5¢49.5%8.0%10:56 AM ET
SUN spread+0.5 −120+0.5 −130+10¢50.5%
Over2.5 −1302.5 −125−5¢53.7%5.3%10:56 AM ET
Under2.5 +1052.5 +100+5¢46.3%
CHE ML−110+100−10¢49.9%5.0%10:56 AM ET
Draw+275+270+5¢25.4%
SUN ML+285+255+30¢24.7%

Now: numbers as published on ESPN at the time shown, a snapshot, not a live price. Opened: the first DraftKings line we recorded, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ET. Change: points for spreads and totals, cents for prices (−110 to −120 is −10¢).

No-vig % removes the book's margin from each market's prices, and hold is that margin: arithmetic on these numbers, not a forecast or a betting-split feed.

Where to bet this game

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Prices vary by book. We only show lines we can source with a timestamp. 21+.

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Recent form

Chelsea

  • W 2-0 vs MAN · Oct 31
  • L 1-1 @ LIV · Oct 28
  • L 2-0 vs TOT · Oct 24
  • W 2-0 @ EVE · Oct 17
  • W 5-1 vs BOU · Oct 10

Sunderland

  • L 2-0 vs DZG · Nov 5
  • L 3-1 @ COV · Oct 31
  • W 3-2 vs BRE · Oct 28
  • D 0-0 vs LEE · Oct 25
  • D 1-1 @ LECH · Oct 22

Season leaders

Chelsea

  • Goals: Morgan Rogers — Matches: 9, Goals: 5
  • Assists: Cole Palmer — Matches: 9, Assists: 3
  • Total Shots: Cole Palmer — 28

Sunderland

  • Goals: Brian Brobbey — Matches: 7, Goals: 3
  • Assists: Enzo Le Fée — Matches: 9, Assists: 1
  • Total Shots: Enzo Le Fée — 16
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