The Cowboys and Colts meet in Week 9 of the regular season on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Our lean
Spread
Cowboys -6 (-110)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 3, 10:40 AM ET
Break-even at -110: 52.4% · Market, vig removed: Cowboys -6 50.0% · Cowboys to win 70.5%
The Cowboys have produced 27.4 points per game while the Colts have allowed 27.8 points per game. The Cowboys have also generated 255.8 passing yards per game against a Colts defense that has surrendered 226.3 passing yards per game. These figures align with the Cowboys covering the spread at the current price.
The case against
The Cowboys most recent result was a 33-30 overtime loss and their overall record stands at 3-5. The Colts have shown they can limit scoring in some road games and they return to their home venue for the first time after two straight road contests.
Cowboys outlook
The Cowboys enter with a 3-5 record and 2-2 mark on the road. Their most recent results show a 33-30 overtime loss to the Cardinals followed by a 38-21 win at the Eagles, a 23-13 loss at the Packers, a 24-16 loss to the Buccaneers and a 34-30 win at the Texans.
Season averages include 27.4 points scored and 26.6 allowed per game along with 255.8 passing yards and 94.1 rushing yards per game. Dak Prescott leads in passing yards, Javonte Williams in rushing and CeeDee Lamb in receiving. Questionable players include Dee Winters, Luke Schoonmaker, KaVontae Turpin, P.J. Locke and Caleb Downs.
Six days separate their most recent game from this matchup.
Colts outlook
The Colts stand at 2-6 overall and 1-2 at home. Their recent results include a 42-7 loss at the Jaguars, a 16-10 loss at the Vikings, a 26-20 loss to the Titans, a 34-22 loss at the Steelers and a 30-13 win over the Commanders.
They average 20.1 points scored and 27.8 allowed per game with 193.8 passing yards and 116.5 rushing yards per game. Daniel Jones leads in passing, Jonathan Taylor in rushing and Josh Downs in receiving. Questionable players are Justin Walley, Anthony Gould and Bryce Boettcher while Cam Taylor-Britt and Alec Pierce are on injured reserve.
This marks their first home game after the last two listed contests were played on the road, and they also have six days since their most recent outing.
Key matchup
The Cowboys passing attack, led by 255.8 yards per game, faces the Colts secondary that has allowed 226.3 passing yards per game. This area stands out because the Colts have given up more through the air than they have generated on offense while the Cowboys have produced more yards through the air than any other category listed.
The market
DraftKings lists the spread at Cowboys -6 and Colts +6, the total at 51.5, and the moneyline at Cowboys -278 and Colts +225. The opening spread was Cowboys -1.5 and Colts +1.5 with a total of 52.5. The spread, total and moneyline have remained unchanged since the first recorded line on Tuesday at 10:00 AM ET.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 3, 10:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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