Liverpool visit Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park on November 8 with Liverpool holding a 4-3-2 record and 15 points while Crystal Palace sit at 2-1-6 and 7 points, setting up a fixture where the visitors aim to capitalize on their standing and the hosts look to close the gap.
Our lean
Moneyline
Liverpool moneyline (-170)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 6, 9:40 AM ET
Break-even at -170: 63.0% · Market, vig removed: Liverpool to win 60.1%
The facts show Liverpool at 60.1 percent implied win probability on the moneyline while holding the stronger 4-3-2 record and 15 points compared with Crystal Palace at 2-1-6 and 7 points, supporting a lean to Liverpool on the moneyline.
Liverpool outlook
Liverpool arrive after a latest run of two straight losses, most recently falling 3-2 at Fenerbahce on November 4 and 1-0 versus Arsenal on November 1 before that, following earlier wins of 1-1 versus Chelsea on October 28, 2-0 versus Brighton & Hove Albion on October 25, and 4-3 versus Villarreal on October 20.
Alexander Isak leads Liverpool with 6 goals in 8 matches and 22 total shots while Cody Gakpo tops assists with 3 in 7 matches, and the side has recorded 11 goals scored alongside 9 conceded so far.
Liverpool have three days since their most recent listed game on November 4, a span that places their current form and attacking output in focus for the trip.
C Palace outlook
Crystal Palace enter after a sequence of draw, loss, win, loss, draw that produced one win, two losses and two draws, most recently a 1-1 draw versus TSG Hoffenheim on November 5 followed by a 2-0 loss at Tottenham Hotspur on October 31.
Tyrick Mitchell leads Crystal Palace with 2 goals in 9 matches, Daichi Kamada tops assists with 3 in 9 matches and Anan Khalaili leads shots with 11, while the side has 9 goals scored and 21 conceded this season.
Crystal Palace have two days since their most recent listed game on November 5, leaving limited recovery time ahead of hosting Liverpool.
Key matchup
Liverpool's 11 goals scored and 9 conceded against Crystal Palace's 9 goals scored and 21 conceded points to Liverpool's forward output testing the home defense as the area most likely to shape the outcome.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 6, 9:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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