Louisville and Memphis meet at FedExForum on Sunday afternoon in a Week 2 regular-season game broadcast on ESPN. Both clubs enter with early-season records intact and the venue gives Memphis home designation. The fixture offers a first look at how the visitors' offensive output and the hosts' defensive numbers interact on the road.
Our lean
Spread
Louisville -9.5 (-102)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET
Break-even at -102: 50.5% · Market, vig removed: Louisville -9.5 48.3% · Louisville to win 74.8%
The combination of Louisville scoring 95.5 points per game while allowing only 63.5 suggests the visitors can generate enough margin on the spread. Memphis has allowed 89.7 points per contest and recently surrendered 105 in one outing, supporting the view that the away side's offensive profile can translate on the road.
Louisville outlook
Louisville arrives with consecutive wins, the most recent a 107-57 result against Morehead State and the prior a 84-70 decision over Chattanooga. Those outcomes align with the team's season marks of 95.5 points scored and 63.5 allowed per game. The squad also posts 49 percent field-goal shooting and 50.5 rebounds per game while committing 8.5 turnovers.
Adrian Wooley leads the visitors with 13.5 points per game, Alvaro Folgueiras distributes 4.5 assists and Karter Knox grabs 8.5 rebounds. The combination of high scoring volume and low points allowed per contest suggests Louisville can maintain an advantage when both ends of the floor are considered for this road assignment.
Memphis outlook
Memphis carries a 2-1 record into the game after a 105-81 loss at Vanderbilt, a narrow 89-88 win over VCU and an 80-76 victory against Iowa State. The team's season averages show 83.3 points scored and 89.7 allowed per contest along with 45 percent field-goal shooting and 32.3 rebounds per game.
Jayden Reid tops the home side with 23.0 points and 3.3 assists per game while Corneilous Williams pulls down 6.0 rebounds. Allowing 89.7 points per outing indicates defensive pressure may be tested when facing an offense that has produced 95.5 points per game so far.
Key matchup
Louisville's 95.5 points per game against Memphis's 89.7 points allowed per game stands as the clearest statistical contrast. The visitors' 49 percent field-goal rate and 50.5 rebounds per contest could stretch the hosts' 45 percent shooting and 32.3 rebounds per game when both clubs operate at FedExForum.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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