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Pregame

Notre Dame vs Navy Prediction & Odds

Notre Dame meets Navy at a neutral site in Week 9 with both teams coming off recent results that shape their approaches.

By the OddsListing desk · Published

ND

6-1

12:00 PM ET

Oct 31, 2026

NAVY

2-5

Scores from the ESPN board · Line: DraftKings via ESPN · Pregame line · as of 3:11 PM ET

Notre Dame enters this neutral-site game at Gillette Stadium with a chance to extend its strong overall mark after a recent setback, while Navy seeks to reverse a pattern of close defeats in Week 9 of the regular season.

Our lean

No lean

The season records, recent results and per-game averages show Notre Dame with higher scoring and fewer points allowed alongside Navy's lower totals and more points surrendered, yet these figures describe patterns without establishing how the teams will perform against each other on this date.

What our lean is, and isn’t

Notre Dame outlook

Notre Dame posted a 6-1 record and showed a mix of results in its last five outings, beginning with a 28-24 loss at BYU Cougars followed by a 58-7 win versus Stanford Cardinal, a 37-26 win at North Carolina Tar Heels, a 49-10 win at Purdue Boilermakers and a 27-10 win versus Michigan State Spartans.

The team's season averages include 41.1 points per game, 13.4 points allowed per game, 445.1 total yards per game and 235.0 total yards allowed per game, along with 261.7 passing yards per game and 183.4 rushing yards per game.

CJ Carr leads in passing with 129/193 for 1,639 yards, 16 touchdowns and 1 interception, Jonaz Walton tops rushing with 57 carries for 426 yards and 3 touchdowns, and Jordan Faison leads receiving with 34 catches for 451 yards and 4 touchdowns, pointing to balanced production that could stress opposing defenses.

Navy outlook

Navy carries a 2-5 record and has experienced mostly losses in its last five games, starting with a 49-39 loss versus North Texas Mean Green, then a 38-34 loss at UTSA Roadrunners, a 34-26 win versus Tulsa Golden Hurricane, a 14-9 loss at Air Force Falcons and a 24-20 loss at UAB Blazers.

Season figures show 29.7 points per game, 29.1 points allowed per game, 427.1 total yards per game and 365.1 total yards allowed per game, with 119.4 passing yards per game and 307.7 rushing yards per game.

Jackson Gutierrez leads both passing at 32/64 for 692 yards, 7 touchdowns and 1 interception and rushing at 150 carries for 869 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Jordan Collins leads receiving with 6 catches for 212 yards and 3 touchdowns, highlighting a run-heavy approach against defenses that limit the pass.

Key matchup

Notre Dame's 183.4 rushing yards per game and 167.7 passing yards allowed per game face Navy's 307.7 rushing yards per game and 255.9 passing yards allowed per game, an area where Notre Dame's offensive balance could test Navy's run emphasis and pass defense vulnerabilities.

Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Oct 28, 1:00 PM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews

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The line

DraftKings via ESPN

Pregame line

MarketDraftKingsas of 3:11 PM ET
ND ML −6500opened −8000
NAVY ML +2000opened +2200
ND spread−30.5 −110opened −28.5 −110
NAVY spread+30.5 −110opened +28.5 −110
Over56.5 −112opened 53.5 −110
Under56.5 −108opened 53.5 −110

Numbers as published on ESPN at the time shown — a snapshot, not a live price. “Opened” is the provider's own opening number. Confirm in the cashier before you bet. 21+.

Implied probability

Implied win split

Notre Dame

95% · −6500

Navy

5% · +2000

Implied from the DraftKings moneyline with the hold removed — not a public-betting feed. Confirm the number in the cashier.

Recent form

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

  • L 28-24 @ BYU · Oct 17
  • W 58-7 vs STAN · Oct 10
  • W 37-26 @ UNC · Oct 3
  • W 49-10 @ PUR · Sep 26
  • W 27-10 vs MSU · Sep 19

Navy Midshipmen

  • L 49-39 vs UNT · Oct 24
  • L 38-34 @ UTSA · Oct 17
  • W 34-26 vs TLSA · Oct 10
  • L 14-9 @ AFA · Oct 3
  • L 24-20 @ UAB · Sep 25

Season leaders

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

  • Passing Yards: CJ Carr — 129/193, 1,639 YDS, 16 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Yards: Jonaz Walton — 57 CAR, 426 YDS, 3 TD
  • Receiving Yards: Jordan Faison — 34 REC, 451 YDS, 4 TD

Navy Midshipmen

  • Passing Yards: Jackson Gutierrez — 32/64, 692 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Yards: Jackson Gutierrez — 150 CAR, 869 YDS, 12 TD
  • Receiving Yards: Jordan Collins — 6 REC, 212 YDS, 3 TD

Fair price

Moneyline and fair price (DraftKings via ESPN)

Snapshot · confirm in cashier

Notre Dame

−6500

DraftKings

No-vig −2068

Navy

+2000

DraftKings

No-vig +2068

No-vig strips the DraftKings hold (3.2%) from its own two-way market. It is a fair-price estimate, not a public-betting feed.

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