The Nuggets and Pacers meet in the regular season at a neutral site in Mexico City.
Our lean
Spread
Nuggets -7.5 (-106)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 7, 10:00 AM ET
Break-even at -106: 51.5% · Market, vig removed: Nuggets -7.5 49.1% · Nuggets to win 70.0%
The Nuggets -7.5 stands out because the Pacers are missing T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Ben Sheppard and Tyrese Haliburton while Kelly Oubre Jr. is day-to-day, facts that thin their rotation against a Nuggets side that is two days removed from its last game.
The case against
The Pacers secured a 107-103 victory in their most recent outing at the Memphis Grizzlies while the Nuggets allowed 114.7 points per game during the season, facts suggesting the contest may stay within the spread at this neutral-site venue.
Nuggets outlook
The Nuggets enter with a 4-3 record and have won three of their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 128-109 win over the Toronto Raptors, followed by a 118-110 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Season averages stand at 115.4 points scored and 114.7 allowed while shooting 49 percent from the field.
Nikola Jokic leads the team in assists at 9.3 per game and rebounds at 9.7 per game while Jamal Murray averages 25.4 points. DeMar DeRozan is listed day-to-day. The team has two days off after its most recent game.
Those elements place the Nuggets in position to control tempo and rebounding against a short-handed opponent.
Pacers outlook
The Pacers hold a 3-6 record and have won one of their last five games. Their most recent result was a 107-103 win at the Memphis Grizzlies, preceded by a 108-104 loss to the Atlanta Hawks and a 98-90 loss to the Brooklyn Nets.
Pascal Siakam leads in points at 21.2 per game and rebounds at 7.1 per game while Andrew Nembhard averages 6.9 assists. T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Ben Sheppard and Tyrese Haliburton are out while Kelly Oubre Jr. is day-to-day. The team also has two days off.
Multiple absences limit backcourt depth and scoring options for the Pacers in this spot.
Key matchup
Nuggets rebounding and assist production face the Pacers depleted perimeter rotation, an area that shapes how possessions develop and how second-chance opportunities are created or denied.
The market
DraftKings lists Nuggets -7.5 at -106 and Pacers +7.5 at -114 with a total of 229.5. The spread opened at Nuggets -6.5 and has remained at -7.5 while the total moved from 228.5 to 229.5. The moneyline sits at Nuggets -268 and Pacers +220.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 7, 10:00 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
Report a problem with this pageAdd OddsListing as a preferred source on Google (opens in a new tab)
