The Thunder and Cavaliers meet in a regular-season game at Rocket Arena with tip-off set for Monday at 7:00 PM ET.
Our lean
Spread
Thunder +4.5 (-118)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 2, 11:00 AM ET
Break-even at -118: 54.1% · Market, vig removed: Thunder +4.5 51.7% · Thunder to win 38.4%
The line has moved to Thunder +3.5 (-103), DraftKings via ESPN, Nov 2, 11:20 AM ET. This lean was written at Thunder +4.5 (-118).
The Thunder plus the points is the read because multiple listed absences remove key rotation players and the team faces another road game after its last two listed games were on the road.
The case against
The Cavaliers have recorded 4 wins in their last 5 games and average 121.0 points scored per game, which could allow them to cover the spread at home after their recent road schedule.
Thunder outlook
The Thunder enter with a 4-2 record and have lost their last two games, falling 119-98 at Houston on Oct 31 and 120-96 at Dallas on Oct 28.
They average 106.5 points scored and 107.0 allowed while shooting 44% from the field. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads them with 26.0 points per game.
Multiple absences include Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace and Thomas Sorber. Another road game after its last two listed games were on the road leaves the Thunder in a difficult spot.
Cavaliers outlook
The Cavaliers hold a 4-2 record and won their most recent outing 136-111 at Milwaukee on Oct 31 after dropping a 114-111 decision at Atlanta on Oct 29.
They average 121.0 points scored and 116.0 allowed while shooting 47% from the field. Donovan Mitchell leads them with 22.7 points per game.
Peyton Watson is day-to-day while Jaylon Tyson is out. The first home game after its last two listed games were on the road gives Cleveland a favorable schedule spot.
Key matchup
Cleveland's 47% field-goal shooting and 28.7 assists per game will test a Thunder defense that has allowed 107.0 points per game while missing multiple rotation players.
The market
DraftKings lists Cavaliers -4.5 at -102 and Thunder +4.5 at -118 with the total at 229.5. The opening spread was Cavaliers -4.5 at -115, the total opened at 226.5 and the moneyline opened at Thunder +154. The spread has stayed at Cavaliers -4.5 while the total has moved up 2 points and the moneyline has shifted toward the Thunder.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 2, 11:00 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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