CFBOct 11
Texas Offense Falters in Rivalry Defeat While Georgia Holds Off Alabama
Longhorns lose despite strong production; Dawgs remain unbeaten in SEC after narrow win in Tuscaloosa

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Texas Falls Short Despite Dominant Yardage Edge
Texas outgained Oklahoma by 144 yards and 1.9 yards per play while creating nearly three times as many tackles for loss. The Longhorns still lost after Oklahoma scored multiple defensive touchdowns and won the turnover margin by at least plus-2. Texas dropped from the unbeaten ranks and now faces a 50% chance of finishing 9-3 or worse. The offense ranks 61st in points per drive, with running backs averaging 4.3 yards per carry overall and 3.6 in the loss. Arch Manning posted a passing success rate that fell each week, reaching 34.2% in the latest outing, and sits 44th nationally in Total QBR.
Georgia Wins in Tuscaloosa for First Time in 19 Years
Georgia averaged 7.5 yards per play to Alabama's 5.8 and rushed for 189 yards from its third- and fourth-string backs. The Dawgs recovered all five fumbles in the game and benefited from a replay review that avoided an interception. Stockton completed 18 of 22 passes with four gains of 20-plus yards. Alabama quarterback Keelon Russell completed 16 of 30 passes, took four sacks and lost a fumble on one of them. Georgia stands as the lone unbeaten SEC team while Alabama holds the highest SP+ rating among one-loss conference squads.
Playoff Implications for Both Programs
Georgia now carries better than a 90% chance of reaching the CFP with only two top-30 opponents left. Alabama retains solid odds in the second tier despite tougher remaining road tests. Texas controls its destiny but must navigate home games against Ole Miss and Mississippi State plus road contests at Missouri and LSU. A 9-3 finish carries a legitimate risk of missing the playoff for the second straight season.
Analysis, not a wagering instruction. Confirm every number on the sportsbook. 21+.






