NFLToday
Week 5 Fantasy Matchups Highlight Key Starts and Avoids
Projected totals and win probabilities shape lineup decisions across several NFL contests this week
By OddsListing wire desk
· 1 min read
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Buccaneers Face Tough Road Test
The opening contest carries an over/under of 47.6 with the Cowboys holding an 83 percent win probability. Recent passing volume has stayed low at 5.5 yards per attempt, limiting options beyond the primary back who handled 16 carries. That back stays in consideration as a lineup lock while other skill players drop out of recommended sets.
Jaguars and Bears Games Offer Value
The Eagles-Jaguars total sits at 46.7 with Jacksonville at 80 percent to win. A receiver with a 26 percent target share draws a favorable look despite recent coverage. In the Chicago-Green Bay matchup, the over/under lands at 44.1 and the Bears hold a 65 percent chance. A back who saw 30 carries last week remains a boom-or-bust flex behind a strong line.
Additional Totals and Usage Notes
Houston-Tennessee projects to 39.3 with the Texans at 61 percent. Cincinnati-Miami carries 43.3 and an 83 percent Bengals win chance. Las Vegas-New England totals 44.4 with New England favored at 58 percent. Usage splits in multiple backfields continue to create risk for flex spots across these games.
Analysis, not a wagering instruction. Confirm every number on the sportsbook. 21+.
