The 49ers visit the Cowboys in Week 10 of the regular season at AT&T Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
Our lean
Spread
Cowboys +3.5 (-105)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 11, 3:40 AM ET
Break-even at -105: 51.2% · Market, vig removed: Cowboys +3.5 48.9% · Cowboys to win 35.5%
The Cowboys receive 3.5 points after the market moved in their direction from the opening line. Their offense has produced 27.3 points per game while the 49ers have allowed 19.5, a gap the current price appears to acknowledge.
The case against
The 49ers hold a 7-1 record and have scored 29.4 points per game on average, numbers that suggest they could cover the spread despite the line movement toward the Cowboys.
49ers outlook
The 49ers enter with a 7-1 record and have scored 29.4 points per game while allowing 19.5. Their recent results show a win over the Raiders followed by a loss at the Falcons.
Brock Purdy leads the passing attack while Christian McCaffrey tops the rushing totals. Gracen Halton and C.J. West remain on injured reserve, and several wide receivers carry questionable tags.
Six days separate their most recent outing from this contest, a schedule spot that follows a win and a road loss.
Cowboys outlook
The Cowboys sit at 4-5 and have scored 27.3 points per game while allowing 26.2. Their last five games include a win at the Colts followed by an overtime loss to the Cardinals.
Dak Prescott leads the passing attack and Javonte Williams leads in rushing. Multiple defensive and offensive players, including DeMarvion Overshown and George Pickens, are listed as questionable.
Six days separate their most recent outing from this contest, a schedule spot that follows a road win.
Key matchup
The 49ers rushing attack that produces 135.3 yards per game faces a Cowboys defense that has allowed 147.4 rushing yards per game, an area that could shape the outcome given both clubs' recent scoring outputs.
The market
DraftKings lists the 49ers at -3.5 and the Cowboys at +3.5. The total sits at 55.5. Since the opening line the spread moved from Cowboys -1.5 to 49ers -3.5 while the total remained at 55.5.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 11, 3:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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