In Week 10 of the regular season, Boise State travels to Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins to face Colorado State on Saturday at 6:00 PM ET with the game set for USA Net.
Our lean
Spread
Boise St -17.5 (-110)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 5, 12:00 AM ET
Break-even at -110: 52.4% · Market, vig removed: Boise St -17.5 50.0% · Boise St to win 86.8%
Boise State’s 35.9 points scored and 23.6 allowed per game stand against Colorado State’s 42.4 points allowed per game. Those season figures suggest Boise State can cover the spread at Canvas Stadium.
The case against
Boise State’s most recent game ended 46-45, showing a narrow margin that leaves room for a closer result than the spread implies when facing a Colorado State team that scored 35.5 points per game.
Boise St outlook
Boise State enters with a 7-1 record after five straight wins. Its most recent outing ended in a 46-45 victory over Texas State, followed by a 31-10 win at Washington State, a 38-31 win at Fresno State, a 37-18 win over Utah State and a 32-7 win at Western Michigan.
The team averages 35.9 points scored and 23.6 allowed per game while producing 449.3 total yards per game and allowing 360.3. Passing yards stand at 226.5 per game with 260.8 allowed, and rushing yards sit at 222.8 per game with 99.5 allowed. Maddux Madsen leads in passing, Dylan Riley in rushing and Rasean Jones in receiving.
Six days separate the most recent game from this one, placing Boise State in a standard schedule spot after its latest result.
Colorado St outlook
Colorado State holds a 3-5 record after one win and four losses in its last five games. The most recent result was a 31-14 loss at Utah State, preceded by a 56-49 win over San Diego State, a 66-27 loss at Texas State, a 56-26 loss to Oregon State and a 59-45 loss at UTSA.
The team averages 35.5 points scored and 42.4 allowed per game while generating 435.5 total yards per game and allowing 526.4. Passing yards stand at 270.9 per game with 265.3 allowed, and rushing yards sit at 164.6 per game with 261.1 allowed. Hauss Hejny leads in passing, Mel Brown in rushing and RJ Vick in receiving.
Six days separate the most recent game from this one, placing Colorado State in a standard schedule spot after its latest result.
Key matchup
Boise State’s offensive output of 35.9 points and 449.3 yards per game faces Colorado State’s defensive totals of 42.4 points and 526.4 yards allowed per game. The contrast in those season figures points to the area most likely to shape the outcome at Canvas Stadium.
The market
DraftKings lists Boise State -17.5 at -110 and Colorado State +17.5 at -110 with the total at 68.5. The opening spread stood at Boise State -19.5 before moving to the current number while the total remained at 68.5. The moneyline reads Boise State -950 and Colorado State +625.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 5, 12:00 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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