The Knicks visit the Pacers in NBA Cup group play at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, Nov 13, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET with the game on Prime Video.
Our lean
Total
Under 219.5 (-113)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 13, 10:20 AM ET
Break-even at -113: 53.1% · Market, vig removed: Under 219.5 50.6%
The facts point to the under because the Knicks' last five games versus the total of 219.5 produced three unders and the Pacers' last five produced four unders while the total line has already moved down 2 from its opening mark.
The case against
The Pacers have produced one combined score over 219.5 in their most recent five outings and the Knicks have produced two, so the recent pattern of unders could reverse if either offense finds rhythm despite the listed absences.
Knicks outlook
The Knicks enter with a 6-5 record and 2-2 mark on the road after results of L, W, W, W, W in their last five games. They scored 110.3 points per game and allowed 103.5 while shooting 44 percent from the field and 36 percent from three, with Jalen Brunson leading at 26.0 points and 5.2 assists per game and Karl-Anthony Towns at 13.5 rebounds per game.
Their most recent outing was a 115-107 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Nov 11 followed by a 117-85 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Nov 10. They have one day off since that loss and face a third game in four nights.
That schedule spot suggests fatigue could limit their ability to maintain defensive control on the road.
Pacers outlook
The Pacers sit at 4-8 overall and 1-4 at home after results of W, L, L, W, L in their last five games. They have scored 111.6 points per game and allowed 114.0 while shooting 47 percent from the field and 33 percent from three, with Pascal Siakam leading at 22.7 points and 6.9 rebounds per game and Andrew Nembhard at 7.8 assists per game.
Their most recent outing was a 114-101 win over the Washington Wizards on Nov 11. They have one day off since that win. T.J. McConnell and Aaron Nesmith are day-to-day while Tyrese Haliburton and Johnny Furphy are out.
The absence of Haliburton suggests reduced playmaking for an offense already allowing 114.0 points per game.
Key matchup
The Knicks' defensive mark of 103.5 points allowed per game against the Pacers' 111.6 points scored per game stands out as the area most likely to decide the outcome given the listed injuries on the home side.
The market
DraftKings lists Knicks -8.5 at -105 and Pacers +8.5 at -115 with a total of 219.5 at Over -107 and Under -113 as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:20 AM ET. The opening spread was Knicks -2.5 and the opening total was 233.5. The spread has moved 2 points toward the Knicks and the total has moved down 2 since the first recorded line on Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 PM ET.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 13, 10:20 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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