This NBA Cup group play matchup at Frost Bank Center on Friday features the Warriors visiting the Spurs in a regular season contest with national coverage on Prime Video.
Our lean
Spread
Spurs -11.5 (-113)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 13, 10:40 AM ET
Break-even at -113: 53.1% · Market, vig removed: Spurs -11.5 50.6% · Spurs to win 84.0%
The Spurs have produced five straight wins and reach this first home game after a four-game road stretch while holding opponents to 108.0 points per game, a profile that aligns with covering at the current number against a Warriors club missing its top scorer.
The case against
The spread has already moved two points in the Warriors direction since the opening line, and Golden State has recorded four wins in its last five outings despite the most recent defeat.
Warriors outlook
The Warriors enter with an 8-4 record and 2-3 mark on the road after results of L, W, W, W, W in their last five games, the most recent a 115-108 loss at Houston.
Season averages show 119.3 points scored and 111.5 allowed along with 47 percent field-goal shooting and 40 percent from three, though Stephen Curry leads the club at 27.8 points per game and is listed out.
With one day off since their last game and Charles Bassey day-to-day, the absence of their top scorer shapes expectations for this road outing.
Spurs outlook
The Spurs sit at 10-2 overall and 4-2 at home after W, W, W, W, W in their last five, extending a streak of 10 straight wins.
They average 119.2 points scored and 108.0 allowed with 47 percent field-goal shooting, led by Victor Wembanyama at 30.2 points and 11.7 rebounds per game.
After four straight road games, this marks their first home contest in that stretch, with one day off since the most recent outing and Devin Vassell plus De'Aaron Fox listed day-to-day.
Key matchup
Warriors scoring without their leading points producer faces the Spurs defense that allows fewer points per game, a contrast that figures to shape the outcome more than other factors.
The market
DraftKings lists Spurs -11.5 at -113 and Warriors +11.5 at -107 with a total of 217.5, where the over sits at -113 and under at -107. The opening spread was Spurs -13.5 and the total opened at 234.5; since then the spread has moved two points toward the Warriors while the total has dropped one point.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 13, 10:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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