Week 9 places the Raiders against the 49ers on Sunday, Nov 8, 2026, at 4:25 PM ET inside Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA.
Our lean
Spread
49ers -10 (-108)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 4, 2:00 AM ET
Break-even at -108: 51.9% · Market, vig removed: 49ers -10 49.6% · 49ers to win 80.8%
The 49ers hold a 6-1 record and a 4-0 home mark while allowing 19.9 points per game. Their extra rest of 13 days off supplies added preparation against a Raiders side that has allowed 28.8 points per game. Those defensive and schedule elements point to the 49ers covering the spread at the current price.
The case against
The Raiders own a 3-1 road record and produced 38 points in their most recent outing. Their season scoring average of 27.6 points per game keeps the contest within reach of the spread line despite the 49ers defensive numbers.
Raiders outlook
The Raiders enter with a 4-4 record and 3-1 mark on the road. Their last five results newest first are a win followed by four losses. The most recent outing produced a 38-33 road victory at the New York Jets.
Season averages show 27.6 points scored and 28.8 allowed per game along with 350.4 total yards gained and 397.1 allowed. Kirk Cousins leads passing with 2,124 yards, Ashton Jeanty leads rushing with 337 yards and Brock Bowers leads receiving with 547 yards. Darien Porter is questionable while Patrick Johnson and Carter Runyon are on injured reserve. Six days separate their last game from this one.
49ers outlook
The 49ers sit at 6-1 overall and 4-0 at home. Their last five results newest first show one loss followed by four wins. The most recent result was a 29-20 road loss at the Atlanta Falcons.
Season averages show 28.1 points scored and 19.9 allowed per game along with 377.1 total yards gained and 312.9 allowed. Brock Purdy leads passing with 1,748 yards, Christian McCaffrey leads rushing with 389 yards and George Kittle leads receiving with 425 yards. Brandon Aiyuk is out while De'Zhaun Stribling is on injured reserve. The extra rest of 13 days off gives them additional preparation time before kickoff.
Key matchup
The 49ers rushing attack against the Raiders run defense shapes the outcome. Christian McCaffrey has produced 389 rushing yards while the Raiders have allowed 146.4 rushing yards per game. That mismatch on the ground can control possession and limit the Raiders offense that has averaged 77.3 rushing yards.
The market
DraftKings lists 49ers -10 at -108 and Raiders +10 at -112 with the total at 52.5. The opening spread sat at 49ers -8.5 and the total opened at 46.5. The spread has remained at 49ers -10 while the total has moved from 51.5 to 52.5. The moneyline sits at Raiders +400 and 49ers -535. Vig-free implied probabilities stand at 50.4 percent for the spread sides and 50.4 percent for the total sides.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 4, 2:00 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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