The Seahawks visit the Raiders in Week 10 of the regular season at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, Nov 15, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET.
Our lean
Total
Under 40.5 (-108)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 11, 3:40 AM ET
Break-even at -108: 51.9% · Market, vig removed: Under 40.5 49.6%
The total line moved down three points to 40.5, which aligns with the Seahawks lower season points-allowed average. Their recent results include several lower-scoring games that fit under the current total, suggesting the market adjustment reflects expectations of a lower-scoring contest.
The case against
The Raiders last five games against this total of 40.5 all finished over with combined scores of 55, 71, 56, 63 and 62. Their higher points-scored and points-allowed averages could produce enough offense to push the total above the adjusted line despite the movement.
Seahawks outlook
The Seahawks enter with a 5-4 record and 1-2 mark on the road. Their most recent results show a win by 14 against the Arizona Cardinals followed by a loss by 17 to the Chicago Bears, a win by 17 against the Kansas City Chiefs, a loss by 3 at the Denver Broncos and a loss by 3 to the San Francisco 49ers.
Season averages list 22.4 points scored and 18.0 allowed per game along with 342.9 total yards gained and 257.9 allowed. Sam Darnold leads in passing yards, Emanuel Wilson in rushing yards and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in receiving yards. Quenton Nelson is listed as doubtful while several others including Leonard Williams and Uchenna Nwosu are questionable.
Six days separate their most recent game from this matchup. The combination of a lower points-allowed average and recent mixed results suggests a controlled approach on the road.
Raiders outlook
The Raiders sit at 4-5 overall with a 1-3 home record. Their latest results include a loss by 21 at the San Francisco 49ers, a win by 5 at the New York Jets, a loss by 14 to the Los Angeles Rams, a loss by 3 to the Buffalo Bills and a loss by 28 at the New England Patriots.
They average 26.4 points scored and 29.8 allowed per game with 338.1 total yards gained and 399.9 allowed. Fernando Mendoza leads in passing, Ashton Jeanty in rushing and Brock Bowers in receiving. Thomas Booker IV and Trey Zuhn III are questionable while Patrick Johnson is on injured reserve.
Six days separate their most recent game from this matchup. This is their first home game after its last 2 listed games were on the road, which may influence preparation after consecutive road contests.
Key matchup
The Seahawks points-allowed average of 18.0 per game stands against the Raiders points-scored average of 26.4 per game. The Raiders higher yards-allowed total of 399.9 per game compared with the Seahawks yards-gained total of 342.9 per game points to the Seahawks defense testing the Raiders offense as the area most likely to shape the outcome.
The market
Lines from DraftKings as of Wed, Nov 11, 3:40 AM ET show Seahawks -6.5 at -108 and Raiders +6.5 at -112. The total sits at 40.5 with over at -112 and under at -108. The moneyline lists Seahawks at -290 and Raiders at +235. The opening spread was Seahawks -7, the total opened at 43.5 and the moneyline opened Seahawks at -340. The spread moved Seahawks favored by more from -3.5 to -6.5 while the total moved down 3 points.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 11, 3:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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