Week 9 regular season meeting at Soldier Field pits the Bears against the Buccaneers on Sunday, Nov 8, 2026, 8:20 PM ET with national broadcast on NBC.
Our lean
Spread
Bears -6 (-112)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 3, 11:40 AM ET
Break-even at -112: 52.8% · Market, vig removed: Bears -6 50.4% · Bears to win 70.0%
Bears season averages of 26.8 points scored and 404.6 total yards per game exceed the Buccaneers marks of 22.3 points scored and 316.1 total yards per game while the Bears also post a 6-2 record compared with the Buccaneers 3-5 mark.
The case against
Buccaneers produced two straight wins in their last five results newest first including a 16-0 shutout and a 43-13 road victory while holding opponents to low totals in four of their last five games against the 46.5 line.
Buccaneers outlook
Buccaneers enter with a 3-5 record and 2-1 mark on the road. Their last five results newest first are W, W, L, W, L with two straight wins including a 16-0 victory against the Atlanta Falcons on Nov 1 and a 43-13 win at the Carolina Panthers on Oct 25.
Season averages show 22.3 points scored and 18.9 allowed per game along with 316.1 total yards per game and 300.1 allowed. Baker Mayfield leads in passing while Bucky Irving leads in rushing and Chris Godwin Jr. leads in receiving.
Yaya Diaby is out and Josh Hayes plus Christian Rozeboom are on injured reserve while Emeka Egbuka is questionable. The team has six days off after its most recent game.
Bears outlook
Bears carry a 6-2 record and 3-1 home mark. Their last five results newest first are W, W, W, L, W featuring three straight wins with a 34-17 victory at the Seattle Seahawks on Nov 2, a 30-24 win against the New England Patriots on Oct 22 and a 31-23 win at the Atlanta Falcons on Oct 18.
Season averages show 26.8 points scored and 20.0 allowed per game along with 404.6 total yards per game and 321.4 allowed. Caleb Williams leads in passing while D'Andre Swift leads in rushing and Luther Burden III leads in receiving.
Kyle Monangai, Kentavius Street, Grady Jarrett and Malik Muhammad II are questionable while Coby Bryant is on injured reserve. The team has five days off after its most recent game.
Key matchup
Bears season rushing production of 150.8 yards per game faces the Buccaneers season rushing defense that allows 80.0 yards per game while the Buccaneers own 168.6 rushing yards per game against the Bears allowance of 86.8 rushing yards per game.
The market
DraftKings lines as of Tue, Nov 3, 11:40 AM ET list Bears -6 (-112), Buccaneers +6 (-108) with total 46.5 — Over -108, Under -112 plus moneyline Buccaneers +220, Bears -270. Opening line from DraftKings was spread Bears -3.5 (-110), Buccaneers +3.5 (-110); total 48.5 (Over -110, Under -110); moneyline Buccaneers +160, Bears -192. Line movement since Tue, Nov 3, 10:00 AM ET shows spread unchanged at Bears -6; total unchanged at 46.5; moneyline unchanged (Buccaneers +220, Bears -270).
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 3, 11:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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