In Week 9 of the regular season the Rams visit the Commanders at Northwest Stadium with kickoff set for Sunday at 1:00 PM ET on Fox.
Our lean
Spread
Rams -5.5 (-118)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 3, 11:20 AM ET
Break-even at -118: 54.1% · Market, vig removed: Rams -5.5 51.7% · Rams to win 68.1%
The Rams show stronger season averages in points scored and points allowed while posting consecutive wins in their latest two outings, facts that align with support for the Rams side of the spread at the current price.
The case against
The Commanders produced a 27-10 win in their most recent game and hold a 2-1-1 mark at home, results that leave open the possibility they keep the margin inside the posted spread despite the overall numbers.
Rams outlook
The Rams enter at 4-4 overall and 2-1 on the road after results of W, W, L, L, W. Their most recent outing produced a 24-9 win over the Los Angeles Chargers.
Season averages show 24.3 points scored and 21.0 allowed per game along with 269.9 passing yards and 125.5 rushing yards per contest. Matthew Stafford leads the passing attack while Kyren Williams leads in rushing and Puka Nacua tops receiving.
Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable along with several other players, yet the six days between games leaves the club in a standard midweek spot after its latest road result.
Commanders outlook
The Commanders stand at 2-4-1 overall and 2-1-1 at home after results of W, L, T, L, W. Their latest outing produced a 27-10 win over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Season averages show 22.7 points scored and 26.0 allowed per game along with 214.6 passing yards and 126.6 rushing yards per contest. Jayden Daniels leads the passing attack while Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads in rushing.
Multiple defensive linemen are unavailable and Terry McLaurin remains on injured reserve, leaving the unit thinner six days after its most recent home result.
Key matchup
Rams passing production faces the Commanders secondary that has allowed 260.0 passing yards per game, an area that could shape the outcome given the Rams emphasis on that phase of the offense.
The market
DraftKings lists Rams -5.5 at -118 and Commanders +5.5 at -102 with a total of 47.5. The opening spread sat at Rams -4.5 and the total at 50.5; both the spread and total have remained unchanged since the first recorded lines.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 3, 11:20 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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