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CFBNov 13, 2026Rose BowlFox

Pregame

Illinois vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Picks

Illinois travels to face UCLA in a Week 11 regular-season matchup at the Rose Bowl.

By the OddsListing desk · Published

ILL

6-3

9:00 PM ET

UCLA

9-0

Scores from the ESPN board

At a glance

Pregame line

Spread
ILL +10 (−105)UCLA −10 (−115)
Total
O 47.5 (−118)U 47.5 (−102)
Moneyline
ILL +310 (23%)UCLA −395 (77%)

Our lean

UCLA -10 (-108)Why

DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication · Nov 9, 9:00 PM ET

DraftKings via ESPN · Pregame line · as of 1:02 PM ET. % = no-vig win share (hold removed; arithmetic, not a forecast).

In Week 11 of the regular season, Illinois visits UCLA at the Rose Bowl on Friday night.

Our lean

Spread

UCLA -10 (-108)

DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 9, 9:00 PM ET

Break-even at -108: 51.9% · Market, vig removed: UCLA -10 49.6% · UCLA to win 76.0%

The facts point to UCLA on the spread because the home team produces more points and total yards per game while allowing fewer points and yards than Illinois, and UCLA enters after five straight wins.

The case against

Illinois has produced four straight wins before this game and averages a higher point total than UCLA has allowed in several recent matchups, leaving room for the visitors to stay inside the number.

What our lean is, and isn’t

Illinois outlook

Illinois enters with a 6-3 record. The most recent results show a 24-13 win over Nebraska, a 20-17 win at Maryland, a 21-10 win over Oregon, a 38-37 overtime win at Michigan State and a loss to Purdue. The team averages 28.4 points scored and 23.0 allowed per game along with 392.2 total yards gained and 376.8 allowed. Katin Houser leads in passing yards, Aidan Laughery in rushing yards and Collin Dixon in receiving yards. Six days separate the most recent game from this one.

UCLA outlook

UCLA enters with a 9-0 record after five straight wins. The most recent results show a 34-20 win at Minnesota, a 27-0 win over Nevada, a 28-10 win over Michigan State, a 17-7 win over Wisconsin and a 17-15 win at Oregon. The team averages 33.6 points scored and 14.1 allowed per game along with 431.9 total yards gained and 264.7 allowed. Ty Dieffenbach leads in passing yards, Wayne Knight in rushing yards and Semaj Morgan in receiving yards. Five days separate the most recent game from this one.

Key matchup

UCLA’s rushing attack that produces 213.2 yards per game faces an Illinois rush defense that allows 131.2 yards per game, an area that shapes the outcome given the difference in those season figures.

The market

DraftKings lists UCLA -10 at -108 with Illinois +10 at -112, a total of 47.5 with the over at -112 and under at -108, and a moneyline of UCLA -380 with Illinois +300. The opening spread was UCLA -12.5 and the total opened at 46.5 before moving up one point; the spread and moneyline prices remain unchanged from the first recorded line.

Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 9, 9:00 PM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews

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Market read

DraftKings via ESPN

Pregame line · as of 1:02 PM ET

MarketNowOpenedChangeNo-vig %HoldAs of
ILL spread+10 −105+10 −108+3¢48.9%4.7%1:02 PM ET
UCLA spread−10 −115−10 −112−3¢51.1%
Over47.5 −11846.5 −108+1 pts51.7%4.6%1:02 PM ET
Under47.5 −10246.5 −112+1 pts48.3%
ILL ML+310+300+10¢23.4%4.2%1:02 PM ET
UCLA ML−395−380−15¢76.6%

Now: numbers as published on ESPN at the time shown, a snapshot, not a live price. Opened: the first DraftKings line we recorded, Nov 9, 12:20 AM ET. Change: points for spreads and totals, cents for prices (−110 to −120 is −10¢).

No-vig % removes the book's margin from each market's prices, and hold is that margin: arithmetic on these numbers, not a forecast or a betting-split feed.

Where to bet this game

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Prices vary by book. We only show lines we can source with a timestamp. 21+.

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Recent form

Illinois Fighting Illini

  • W 24-13 vs NEB · Nov 6
  • W 20-17 @ MD · Oct 31
  • W 21-10 vs ORE · Oct 24
  • W 38-37 OT @ MSU · Oct 10
  • L 24-17 vs PUR · Oct 3

UCLA Bruins

  • W 34-20 @ MINN · Nov 7
  • W 27-0 vs NEV · Oct 31
  • W 28-10 vs MSU · Oct 24
  • W 17-7 vs WIS · Oct 17
  • W 17-15 @ ORE · Oct 10

Season leaders

Illinois Fighting Illini

  • Passing Yards: Katin Houser — 162/252, 1,955 YDS, 16 TD, 5 INT
  • Rushing Yards: Aidan Laughery — 100 CAR, 615 YDS, 2 TD
  • Receiving Yards: Collin Dixon — 68 REC, 910 YDS, 12 TD

UCLA Bruins

  • Passing Yards: Ty Dieffenbach — 67/116, 986 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Yards: Wayne Knight — 128 CAR, 789 YDS, 13 TD
  • Receiving Yards: Semaj Morgan — 37 REC, 469 YDS, 2 TD

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