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CFBNov 14, 2026Gerald J. Ford StadiumESPN

Pregame

Wake Forest vs SMU Prediction & Odds

Wake Forest and SMU meet in a Week 11 regular-season game at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

By the OddsListing desk · Published · Updated

WAKE

8-1

12:00 PM ET

SMU

7-2

Scores from the ESPN board

At a glance

Pregame line

Spread
WAKE +1.5 (−115)SMU −1.5 (−105)
Total
O 60.5 (−110)U 60.5 (−110)
Moneyline
WAKE −105 (49%)SMU −115 (51%)

DraftKings via ESPN · Pregame line · as of 1:02 PM ET. % = no-vig win share (hold removed; arithmetic, not a forecast).

Week 11 of the regular season brings Wake Forest to SMU on Saturday afternoon at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

Our lean

No lean

The facts show Wake Forest with a stronger recent run of results and higher season scoring average while SMU plays at home with a comparable overall record. The narrow spread and total near 60.5 reflect those competing elements without establishing a clear edge for either side.

What our lean is, and isn’t

Wake Forest outlook

Wake Forest enters with an 8-1 record and has won its last five games in a row. The most recent result was a 77-0 victory over Merrimack Warriors on November 7, followed by a 51-7 win over Virginia Cavaliers on October 31.

Season averages show 43.3 points scored and 15.9 allowed per game along with 487.7 total yards gained. Passing leader Gio Lopez has thrown for 2,176 yards while rushing leader Ty Clark III has 416 yards on the ground.

With six days between its most recent game and this contest the schedule spot allows limited additional preparation time.

SMU outlook

SMU stands at 7-2 and has recorded four wins in its last five outings. The latest result was a 51-28 victory over Virginia Tech Hokies on November 6 after a 30-27 loss at Syracuse Orange on October 31.

The team averages 37.0 points scored and 22.9 allowed per game with 475.8 total yards gained. Passing leader Kevin Jennings has 2,764 yards while rushing leader Kendrick Raphael has 755 yards.

Seven days separate the most recent listed game from this one, giving a slightly longer window before kickoff.

Key matchup

Wake Forest's season-long ability to score 43.3 points per game while gaining 487.7 total yards will test SMU's defense that has allowed 22.9 points and 319.8 total yards per game.

The market

DraftKings lists SMU at -1.5 and Wake Forest at +1.5 with the total at 60.5. The opening spread had been Wake Forest -3.5 and SMU +3.5 while the total opened at 55.5; the spread has moved 3 points toward SMU and the total has dropped 1 point since the first recorded line.

Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 13, 12:20 PM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews

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Market read

DraftKings via ESPN

Pregame line · as of 1:02 PM ET

MarketNowOpenedChangeNo-vig %HoldAs of
WAKE spread+1.5 −115−1.5 −108+3 pts51.1%4.7%1:02 PM ET
SMU spread−1.5 −105+1.5 −112−3 pts48.9%
Over60.5 −11061.5 −105−1 pts50.0%4.8%1:02 PM ET
Under60.5 −11061.5 −115−1 pts50.0%
WAKE ML−105−120+15¢48.9%4.7%1:02 PM ET
SMU ML−115+100−15¢51.1%

Now: numbers as published on ESPN at the time shown, a snapshot, not a live price. Opened: the first DraftKings line we recorded, Nov 9, 12:20 AM ET. Change: points for spreads and totals, cents for prices (−110 to −120 is −10¢).

No-vig % removes the book's margin from each market's prices, and hold is that margin: arithmetic on these numbers, not a forecast or a betting-split feed.

Where to bet this game

Check the price at a book we review

Prices vary by book. We only show lines we can source with a timestamp. 21+.

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Recent form

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

  • W 77-0 vs MRMK · Nov 7
  • W 51-7 vs UVA · Oct 31
  • W 41-7 @ CAL · Oct 17
  • W 38-14 @ NCSU · Oct 10
  • W 57-3 vs STAN · Oct 3

SMU Mustangs

  • W 51-28 vs VT · Nov 6
  • L 30-27 @ SYR · Oct 31
  • W 59-20 vs CAL · Oct 24
  • W 23-13 vs UVA · Oct 17
  • W 25-16 vs BC · Oct 3

Season leaders

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

  • Passing Yards: Gio Lopez — 153/228, 2,176 YDS, 18 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Yards: Ty Clark III — 86 CAR, 416 YDS, 8 TD
  • Receiving Yards: Carlos Hernandez — 61 REC, 945 YDS, 7 TD

SMU Mustangs

  • Passing Yards: Kevin Jennings — 209/283, 2,764 YDS, 25 TD, 6 INT
  • Rushing Yards: Kendrick Raphael — 150 CAR, 755 YDS, 10 TD
  • Receiving Yards: Yamir Knight — 50 REC, 626 YDS, 6 TD

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