Baylor travels to face BYU in a Week 11 regular season game at LaVell Edwards Stadium on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM ET with showers and 46°F expected.
Our lean
Spread
Baylor +7.5 (-118)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 12, 12:20 AM ET
Break-even at -118: 54.1% · Market, vig removed: Baylor +7.5 51.7% · Baylor to win 28.2%
The line movement toward Baylor on the spread aligns with the team's recent results that produced two straight wins and combined scores above the current total in four of its last five games.
Baylor's season averages of 31.9 points scored and 433.4 total yards per game suggest the visitor can stay within the number against a BYU defense that has allowed 19.8 points per game.
The case against
BYU leads the series of season records at 7-2 compared with Baylor at 6-3 and posts a lower total yards allowed per game at 302.2, which could keep the margin closer to or beyond the posted spread at the home venue.
Baylor outlook
Baylor enters with a 6-3 record after its most recent listed game on Nov 7. The team posted wins in its last two outings, including a 42-31 victory and a 41-9 road win.
Baylor averages 31.9 points scored and 17.0 allowed per game along with 433.4 total yards per game and 348.2 allowed. Its passing attack is led by DJ Lagway while Caden Knighten leads in rushing yards.
The six days between games leaves Baylor in a standard schedule spot after a pair of wins that featured combined scores of 73 and 50.
BYU outlook
BYU holds a 7-2 record and comes in after its most recent listed game on Nov 7. The team has alternated results in its last five outings with three wins and two losses.
BYU averages 31.0 points scored and 19.8 allowed per game along with 397.1 total yards per game and 302.2 allowed. Bear Bachmeier leads both passing and rushing production.
The six days between games leaves BYU in a standard schedule spot after a stretch that included combined scores of 48 and 47 in two of its last five contests.
Key matchup
BYU's rushing production faces Baylor's run defense. BYU has gained 169.1 rushing yards per game while Baylor has allowed 112.3 rushing yards per game, an area that could shape the outcome at the venue.
The market
DraftKings lists BYU -7.5 at -102 and Baylor +7.5 at -118 with a total of 48.5 at even odds on both sides and a moneyline of Baylor +240 and BYU -298. The spread has stayed at BYU -7.5 since the first recorded line while the total has moved from 49.5 to 48.5.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 12, 12:20 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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