In Week 11 of the regular season, Oregon St travels to Albertsons Stadium in Boise to face Boise St on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET with intermittent clouds and 54°F forecast.
Our lean
Spread
Boise St -15.5 (-108)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 12, 12:40 AM ET
Break-even at -108: 51.9% · Market, vig removed: Boise St -15.5 49.6% · Boise St to win 82.2%
Boise St has produced five straight wins while Oregon St has recorded two straight losses and the line movement shows Boise St favored by more from the opening spread of -4.5.
Boise St also generates 237.1 rushing yards per game against Oregon St which allows 173.2 rushing yards per game so the home side figures to control the ground game at the stated spread price.
The case against
Oregon St still produces 370.4 passing yards per game and has posted combined scores above 65.5 in three of its last five games so the visitors retain the ability to keep the margin closer than the current spread.
Oregon St outlook
Oregon St enters with a 5-4 record after its most recent results of a 42-21 loss to Texas State Bobcats followed by a 38-22 loss at Fresno State Bulldogs.
The team averages 38.0 points scored and 26.9 allowed per game along with 498.4 total yards per game and 378.8 allowed while its passing attack produces 370.4 yards per game led by Braden Atkinson.
Oregon St has six days off after its Nov 7 game and its rushing output stands at 128.0 yards per game with AJ Newberry leading that category.
Boise St outlook
Boise St arrives with an 8-1 record after five consecutive wins, most recently a 64-38 victory at Colorado State Rams followed by a 46-45 win over Texas State Bobcats.
The team averages 39.0 points scored and 25.2 allowed per game along with 473.7 total yards per game and 377.2 allowed while its rushing attack produces 237.1 yards per game led by Dylan Riley.
Boise St has six days off after its Nov 7 game and its passing output stands at 236.6 yards per game with Maddux Madsen leading that category.
Key matchup
Boise St ground attack against Oregon St run defense shapes the contest as Boise St produces 237.1 rushing yards per game while Oregon St allows 173.2 rushing yards per game.
The market
DraftKings lists Boise St -15.5 at -108 and Oregon St +15.5 at -112 with a total of 65.5, after the spread moved from Boise St -4.5 to -15.5 and the total moved from 66.5 to 65.5 since the first recorded line.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 12, 12:40 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
Report a problem with this pageAdd OddsListing as a preferred source on Google (opens in a new tab)
