South Carolina travels to Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to face Arkansas on Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, at 7:45 PM ET in Week 11 of the regular season, with the game set for SEC Network broadcast.
Our lean
Spread
South Carolina -7.5 (-112)
DraftKings via ESPN · line at publication, Nov 13, 1:00 AM ET
Break-even at -112: 52.8% · Market, vig removed: South Carolina -7.5 50.4% · South Carolina to win 73.4%
South Carolina's recent sequence of four straight wins and its 34.7 points per game scoring average align with the spread price that moved from -8.5 to -7.5. Arkansas has dropped four of its last five games while allowing 27.4 points per game, which leaves the visiting offense in position to cover the current line at the listed price.
The case against
Arkansas posted a 26-23 loss in its most recent game and holds home status at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, where the half-point location at 7.5 remains sensitive to final margins of three or seven points that occur most often.
South Carolina outlook
South Carolina enters with a 6-3 record after posting wins in its last four games. The most recent outing produced a 17-9 result against Texas A&M Aggies, followed by a 42-25 win at Oklahoma Sooners, a 27-24 result versus Tennessee Volunteers and a 38-19 win at Florida Gators. Earlier, the team fell 35-34 in overtime to Kentucky Wildcats.
Season averages show South Carolina scoring 34.7 points per game while allowing 23.4. The team gains 452.6 total yards per game and yields 353.4, with 247.1 passing yards per game and 205.4 rushing yards per game. LaNorris Sellers leads in passing with 2,100 yards and in rushing with 637 yards. The schedule spot follows six days of rest after the Nov 7 game.
Arkansas outlook
Arkansas holds a 3-6 record after one win and four losses across its last five games. The most recent result was a 26-23 loss at Auburn Tigers, preceded by a 34-10 defeat versus Missouri Tigers, a 31-21 win at Vanderbilt Commodores, a 24-17 loss to Tennessee Volunteers and a 34-7 loss at Texas A&M Aggies.
Season averages show Arkansas scoring 20.0 points per game while allowing 27.4. The team gains 337.9 total yards per game and yields 361.8, with 225.4 passing yards per game and 112.4 rushing yards per game. KJ Jackson leads in passing with 1,853 yards while Cam Settles leads in rushing with 314 yards. The schedule spot follows six days of rest after the Nov 7 game.
Key matchup
South Carolina's offense that averages 34.7 points per game faces an Arkansas defense that allows 27.4 points per game. The contrast between South Carolina's 205.4 rushing yards per game and Arkansas's 156.2 rushing yards allowed per game points to the ground attack as the area most likely to shape the outcome at the home venue.
The market
DraftKings lists South Carolina -7.5 at -112 and Arkansas +7.5 at -108 with the total at 51.5. The opening spread was South Carolina -8.5 and the moneyline opened at South Carolina -340. The spread has stayed at South Carolina -7.5 since the first recorded line while the total has remained 51.5. Vig-free implied probabilities sit at 50.4 percent for South Carolina -7.5 and 50.4 percent for the over.
Written with AI assistance from ESPN data and checked by a separate automated fact-check against that data. Lines as of Nov 13, 1:00 AM ET from DraftKings; they move — confirm the price before you bet. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. How we write previews
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